Syncing the cold line...
The Cold Line
Syncing the cold line...
The Cold Line
MLB first-inning props
307 graded plays. 45.9% hit rate. 36.3% beat the closing line. +0.5¢ mean CLV. +9.9% ROI.
This is why win rate doesn't tell the full story. We're not winning more often — we're winning at better prices. The edge lives in the line, not the ledger.
Each graded play is evaluated against the first-inning market and its closing price. Hit rate is shown, but CLV and ROI explain whether the price was better—not merely whether the outcome was right.
The NRFI capture and grading pipeline remains separate from this published snapshot. Missing or incomplete live rows are never backfilled into the headline sample.