Week 2 Survivor Picks (Sep 17–21, 2026)
Week 3 Survivor Picks (Sep 24–28, 2026)
Updated Nov 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET · numbers refresh about every 15 minutes
Week 2 is final. This page shows results: which picks won and lost.
16 of 16 Week 2 games are final. The model's 3 safest pre-week picks went 2–1: KC won (68% before the week), SF won (66% before the week), NYJ lost (65% before the week).
DET31@
BUF41Line not posted yetFinalHow the safest Week 2 picks did
Pre-week win probability from team ratings fit on earlier games only (walk-forward), so it is what the model knew before kickoff.
| Team | Opponent | Pre-week win | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 KCKansas City Chiefs | vs  IND | 68% | Won | 33–30 |
 SFSan Francisco 49ers | vs  MIA | 66% | Won | 35–13 |
 NYJNew York Jets | vs  GB | 65% | Lost | 17–20 |
 ATLAtlanta Falcons | vs  CAR | 62% | Lost | 3–34 |
 BALBaltimore Ravens | vs  NO | 62% | Lost | 17–24 |
 TBTampa Bay Buccaneers | vs  CLE | 62% | Lost | 19–23 |
 ARIArizona Cardinals | vs  SEA | 61% | Lost | 7–31 |
 CHIChicago Bears | vs  MIN | 59% | Lost | 3–9 |
| BUFBuffalo Bills | vs  DET | 59% | Won | 41–31 |
 JAXJacksonville Jaguars | @  DEN | 56% | Lost | 13–20 |
 NENew England Patriots | vs  PIT | 55% | Won | 20–3 |
 DALDallas Cowboys | vs  WSH | 54% | Won | 37–20 |
Every Week 2 game: win probability
Line = a sportsbook’s point spread turned into a win chance. Model = our team ratings, used where no line is posted yet. Open a game for its matchup.
| Matchup | Kickoff | Line | Win odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET31@BUF41Open matchupThu, Sep 17, 8:15 PM ET | Thu, Sep 17, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CAR34@ATL3Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CIN20@ HOU6Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CLE23@TB19Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 GB20@NYJ17Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 MIN9@CHI3Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 NO24@BAL17Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 PHI24@ TEN20Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 PIT3@NE20Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
JAX13@ DEN20Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 LV26@ LAC14Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 MIA13@SF35Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 SEA31@ARI7Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 WSH20@DAL37Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 IND30@KC33Open matchupSun, Sep 20, 8:20 PM ET | Sun, Sep 20, 8:20 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 NYG6@ LAR28Open matchupMon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET | Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
Public consensus
Loading public consensus.
How these numbers are made
Team ratings are fit to this season’s final scores and posted spreads. A game with a posted line uses the line; a game further out uses the ratings, with wider uncertainty for each week ahead. Future Value comes from the same season plan the planner makes, counted for a fresh plan with no teams used.
A planning tool for a standard NFL survivor pool: one team per week, each team used once. Your pool sets its own deadlines, tie rules, and entry requirements. Nothing here submits a pick to your pool.
Win odds are estimates, not guarantees.
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