Week 9 Survivor Picks (Nov 5–9, 2026)
Week 10 Survivor Picks (Nov 12–16, 2026)
Updated Nov 12, 2026, 5:16 PM ET · numbers refresh about every 15 minutes
Week 9 is final. This page shows results: which picks won and lost.
15 of 15 Week 9 games are final. The model's 3 safest pre-week picks went 3–0: SEA won (69% before the week), SF won (66% before the week), KC won (65% before the week).
JAX33@
BAL10Line not posted yetFinalHow the safest Week 9 picks did
Pre-week win probability from team ratings fit on earlier games only (walk-forward), so it is what the model knew before kickoff.
| Team | Opponent | Pre-week win | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SEASeattle Seahawks | vs  ARI | 69% | Won | 17–3 |
 SFSan Francisco 49ers | vs  LV | 66% | Won | 38–17 |
 KCKansas City Chiefs | vs  NYJ | 65% | Won | 35–12 |
 CHIChicago Bears | vs  TB | 61% | Won | 27–24 |
| JAXJacksonville Jaguars | @  BAL | 60% | Won | 33–10 |
 CINCincinnati Bengals | vs  ATL | 60% | Won | 34–17 |
 NENew England Patriots | vs  GB | 60% | Lost | 27–45 |
 MINMinnesota Vikings | vs  BUF | 56% | Lost | 6–23 |
 NONew Orleans Saints | vs  CLE | 56% | Won | 23–22 |
 DETDetroit Lions | @  MIA | 56% | Won | 19–9 |
 HOUHouston Texans | @  LAC | 55% | Won | 44–22 |
 NYGNew York Giants | @  PHI | 54% | Won | 19–11 |
Every Week 9 game: win probability
Line = a sportsbook’s point spread turned into a win chance. Model = our team ratings, used where no line is posted yet. Open a game for its matchup.
| Matchup | Kickoff | Line | Win odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX33@BAL10Open matchupThu, Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET | Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
CIN34vs ATL17Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CLE22@NO23Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 DAL27@ IND23Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 DEN26@ CAR21Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
DET19@ MIA9Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 LAR20@ WSH13Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
NYG19@ PHI11Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 NYJ12@KC35Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
HOU44@ LAC22Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 LV17@SF38Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 ARI3@SEA17Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 GB45@NE27Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 TB24@CHI27Open matchupSun, Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET | Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 BUF23@MIN6Open matchupMon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET | Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
Public consensus
Loading public consensus.
How these numbers are made
Team ratings are fit to this season’s final scores and posted spreads. A game with a posted line uses the line; a game further out uses the ratings, with wider uncertainty for each week ahead. Future Value comes from the same season plan the planner makes, counted for a fresh plan with no teams used.
A planning tool for a standard NFL survivor pool: one team per week, each team used once. Your pool sets its own deadlines, tie rules, and entry requirements. Nothing here submits a pick to your pool.
Win odds are estimates, not guarantees.
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