Week 6 Survivor Picks (Oct 15–19, 2026)
Week 7 Survivor Picks (Oct 22–26, 2026)
Updated Nov 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET · numbers refresh about every 15 minutes
Week 6 is final. This page shows results: which picks won and lost.
14 of 14 Week 6 games are final. The model's 3 safest pre-week picks went 2–1: KC won (74% before the week), SF won (74% before the week), LAR lost (68% before the week).
SEA14@
DEN17Line not posted yetFinalHow the safest Week 6 picks did
Pre-week win probability from team ratings fit on earlier games only (walk-forward), so it is what the model knew before kickoff.
| Team | Opponent | Pre-week win | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 KCKansas City Chiefs | vs  LAC | 74% | Won | 22–6 |
 SFSan Francisco 49ers | vs  WSH | 74% | Won | 23–17 |
 LARLos Angeles Rams | vs  ARI | 68% | Lost | 16–18 |
 INDIndianapolis Colts | vs  TEN | 66% | Lost | 20–26 |
 NENew England Patriots | vs  NYJ | 64% | Won | 26–19 |
 JAXJacksonville Jaguars | vs  HOU | 61% | Lost | 31–34 |
 NYGNew York Giants | vs  NO | 61% | Lost | 27–34 |
 GBGreen Bay Packers | vs  DAL | 58% | Won | 23–13 |
 ATLAtlanta Falcons | vs  CHI | 54% | Lost | 23–31 |
 TBTampa Bay Buccaneers | vs  PIT | 54% | Lost | 19–26 |
 LVLas Vegas Raiders | vs  BUF | 52% | Lost | 30–33 |
| DENDenver Broncos | vs  SEA | 51% | Won | 17–14 |
Every Week 6 game: win probability
Line = a sportsbook’s point spread turned into a win chance. Model = our team ratings, used where no line is posted yet. Open a game for its matchup.
| Matchup | Kickoff | Line | Win odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA14@DEN17Open matchupThu, Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 HOU34vsJAX31Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET | Final | — | Final |
 BAL10@ CLE13Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CAR25@ PHI14Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CHI31@ATL23Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 NO34@NYG27Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 NYJ19@NE26Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 PIT26@TB19Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 TEN26@IND20Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 ARI18@LAR16Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 BUF33@LV30Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 LAC6@KC22Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 DAL13@GB23Open matchupSun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET | Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 WSH17@SF23Open matchupMon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET | Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
Public consensus
Loading public consensus.
How these numbers are made
Team ratings are fit to this season’s final scores and posted spreads. A game with a posted line uses the line; a game further out uses the ratings, with wider uncertainty for each week ahead. Future Value comes from the same season plan the planner makes, counted for a fresh plan with no teams used.
A planning tool for a standard NFL survivor pool: one team per week, each team used once. Your pool sets its own deadlines, tie rules, and entry requirements. Nothing here submits a pick to your pool.
Win odds are estimates, not guarantees.
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