Week 7 Survivor Picks (Oct 22–26, 2026)

Week 8 Survivor Picks (Oct 29–Nov 2, 2026)

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET · numbers refresh about every 15 minutes

Week 7 is final. This page shows results: which picks won and lost.

14 of 14 Week 7 games are final. The model's 3 safest pre-week picks went 1–2: MIN won (70% before the week), NYJ lost (66% before the week), CAR lost (65% before the week).

Thursday gameNew England Patriots logoNE24@Chicago Bears logoCHI30Line not posted yetFinal

How the safest Week 7 picks did

Pre-week win probability from team ratings fit on earlier games only (walk-forward), so it is what the model knew before kickoff.

TeamOpponentPre-week winResultScore
Minnesota Vikings logoMINvs Indianapolis Colts logoIND70%Won16–10
New York Jets logoNYJvs Miami Dolphins logoMIA66%Lost25–28
Carolina Panthers logoCARvs Tampa Bay Buccaneers logoTB65%Lost13–43
Houston Texans logoHOUvs New York Giants logoNYG62%Lost21–27
Detroit Lions logoDETvs Green Bay Packers logoGB59%Won20–17
Las Vegas Raiders logoLVvs Los Angeles Rams logoLAR58%Lost21–35
Pittsburgh Steelers logoPITvs New Orleans Saints logoNO57%Won16–10
Chicago Bears logoCHIvs New England Patriots logoNE56%Won30–24
Baltimore Ravens logoBALvs Cincinnati Bengals logoCIN56%Lost13–35
Denver Broncos logoDEN@ Arizona Cardinals logoARI52%Won30–16
San Francisco 49ers logoSF@ Atlanta Falcons logoATL52%Lost20–29
Philadelphia Eagles logoPHIvs Dallas Cowboys logoDAL52%Lost21–38

Every Week 7 game: win probability

Line = a sportsbook’s point spread turned into a win chance. Model = our team ratings, used where no line is posted yet. Open a game for its matchup.

MatchupLineWin oddsSource
New England Patriots logoNE24@Chicago Bears logoCHI30Open matchupThu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM ETFinal—Final
Pittsburgh Steelers logoPIT16vsNew Orleans Saints logoNO10Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETFinal—Final
Cincinnati Bengals logoCIN35@Baltimore Ravens logoBAL13Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETFinal—Final
Cleveland Browns logoCLE27@Tennessee Titans logoTEN24Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETFinal—Final
Indianapolis Colts logoIND10@Minnesota Vikings logoMIN16Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETFinal—Final
Miami Dolphins logoMIA28@New York Jets logoNYJ25Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETFinal—Final
New York Giants logoNYG27@Houston Texans logoHOU21Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETFinal—Final
San Francisco 49ers logoSF20@Atlanta Falcons logoATL29Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETFinal—Final
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logoTB43@Carolina Panthers logoCAR13Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETFinal—Final
Denver Broncos logoDEN30@Arizona Cardinals logoARI16Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ETFinal—Final
Green Bay Packers logoGB17@Detroit Lions logoDET20Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETFinal—Final
Los Angeles Rams logoLAR35@Las Vegas Raiders logoLV21Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETFinal—Final
Kansas City Chiefs logoKC3@Seattle Seahawks logoSEA20Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETFinal—Final
Dallas Cowboys logoDAL38@Philadelphia Eagles logoPHI21Open matchupMon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ETFinal—Final

Public consensus

Loading public consensus.

How these numbers are made

Team ratings are fit to this season’s final scores and posted spreads. A game with a posted line uses the line; a game further out uses the ratings, with wider uncertainty for each week ahead. Future Value comes from the same season plan the planner makes, counted for a fresh plan with no teams used.

A planning tool for a standard NFL survivor pool: one team per week, each team used once. Your pool sets its own deadlines, tie rules, and entry requirements. Nothing here submits a pick to your pool.

Win odds are estimates, not guarantees.

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