Week 7 Circa Survivor Picks (Oct 22–26, 2026)
Week 8 Circa Survivor Picks (Oct 29–Nov 2, 2026)
Updated Nov 12, 2026, 4:16 PM ET · numbers refresh about every 15 minutes
Week 7 is final. This page shows results: which picks won and lost.
14 of 14 Week 7 games are final. The model's 3 safest pre-week picks went 1–2: MIN won (70% before the week), NYJ lost (66% before the week), CAR lost (65% before the week).
NE24@
CHI30Line not posted yetFinalHow the safest Week 7 picks did
Pre-week win probability from team ratings fit on earlier games only (walk-forward), so it is what the model knew before kickoff.
| Team | Opponent | Pre-week win | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 MINMinnesota Vikings | vs  IND | 70% | Won | 16–10 |
 NYJNew York Jets | vs  MIA | 66% | Lost | 25–28 |
 CARCarolina Panthers | vs  TB | 65% | Lost | 13–43 |
 HOUHouston Texans | vs  NYG | 62% | Lost | 21–27 |
 DETDetroit Lions | vs  GB | 59% | Won | 20–17 |
 LVLas Vegas Raiders | vs  LAR | 58% | Lost | 21–35 |
 PITPittsburgh Steelers | vs  NO | 57% | Won | 16–10 |
| CHIChicago Bears | vs  NE | 56% | Won | 30–24 |
 BALBaltimore Ravens | vs  CIN | 56% | Lost | 13–35 |
 DENDenver Broncos | @  ARI | 52% | Won | 30–16 |
 SFSan Francisco 49ers | @  ATL | 52% | Lost | 20–29 |
 PHIPhiladelphia Eagles | vs  DAL | 52% | Lost | 21–38 |
Every Week 7 game: win probability
Line = a sportsbook’s point spread turned into a win chance. Model = our team ratings, used where no line is posted yet. Open a game for its matchup.
| Matchup | Kickoff | Line | Win odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE24@CHI30Open matchupThu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET | Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
PIT16vs NO10Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CIN35@BAL13Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CLE27@ TEN24Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 IND10@MIN16Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 MIA28@NYJ25Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 NYG27@HOU21Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
SF20@ ATL29Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 TB43@CAR13Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
DEN30@ ARI16Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 GB17@DET20Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 LAR35@LV21Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 KC3@ SEA20Open matchupSun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 DAL38@PHI21Open matchupMon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
Public consensus
Loading public consensus.
How these numbers are made
Team ratings are fit to this season’s final scores and posted spreads. A game with a posted line uses the line; a game further out uses the ratings, with wider uncertainty for each week ahead. Future Value comes from the same season plan the planner makes, counted for a fresh plan with no teams used.
Unofficial. This planner is unofficial. It does not enter Circa Survivor, submit picks, or replace Circa’s official rules, schedule, or deadlines. Confirm every rule and kickoff with Circa Sports.
Win odds are estimates, not guarantees.
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