Week 1 Circa Survivor Picks (Sep 9–14, 2026)
Week 2 Circa Survivor Picks (Sep 17–21, 2026)
Updated Nov 12, 2026, 5:28 PM ET · numbers refresh about every 15 minutes
Week 1 is final. This page shows results: which picks won and lost.
16 of 16 Week 1 games are final. Circa's public sheet lists 24,999 entries for Week 1; 8,039 were eliminated and 16,978 survived.
SF27vs
LAR7Line not posted yetFinalCirca field · Week 1
From Circa’s public selections sheet. 24,999 entries listed. 8,039 eliminated. 16,978 survived.
| Team | Entries | Result |
|---|---|---|
| JAX | 8,127 | Won |
| LAC | 7,585 | Lost |
| PIT | 4,013 | Won |
| DET | 1,771 | Won |
| LV | 1,308 | Won |
| PHI | 784 | Won |
| CIN | 351 | Won |
| TEN | 213 | Lost |
| SEA | 174 | Won |
| CHI | 128 | Won |
| BAL | 111 | Won |
| NYJ | 89 | Won |
Every Week 1 game: win probability
Line = a sportsbook’s point spread turned into a win chance. Model = our team ratings, used where no line is posted yet. Open a game for its matchup.
| Matchup | Kickoff | Line | Win odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 NE10@ SEA13Open matchupWed, Sep 9, 8:20 PM ET | Wed, Sep 9, 8:20 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
| SF27vsLAR7Open matchupThu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM ET | Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 ATL13@ PIT20Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 BAL41@ IND23Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 BUF36@ HOU31Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CHI59@ CAR37Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CLE10@ JAX34Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 NO30@ DET31Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 NYJ23@ TEN10Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 TB27@ CIN33Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 ARI26@ LAC14Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 GB22@ MIN39Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 MIA13@ LV27Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 WSH22@ PHI24Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 DAL20@ NYG28Open matchupSun, Sep 13, 8:20 PM ET | Sun, Sep 13, 8:20 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 DEN10@ KC31Open matchupMon, Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET | Mon, Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
Public consensus
Loading public consensus.
How these numbers are made
Team ratings are fit to this season’s final scores and posted spreads. A game with a posted line uses the line; a game further out uses the ratings, with wider uncertainty for each week ahead. Future Value comes from the same season plan the planner makes, counted for a fresh plan with no teams used.
Unofficial. This planner is unofficial. It does not enter Circa Survivor, submit picks, or replace Circa’s official rules, schedule, or deadlines. Confirm every rule and kickoff with Circa Sports.
Win odds are estimates, not guarantees.
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