Week 8 Circa Survivor Picks (Oct 29–Nov 2, 2026)
Week 9 Circa Survivor Picks (Nov 5–9, 2026)
Updated Nov 12, 2026, 4:16 PM ET · numbers refresh about every 15 minutes
Week 8 is final. This page shows results: which picks won and lost.
14 of 14 Week 8 games are final. The model's 3 safest pre-week picks went 2–1: CIN won (76% before the week), DAL lost (70% before the week), JAX won (69% before the week).
CAR19@
GB27Line not posted yetFinalHow the safest Week 8 picks did
Pre-week win probability from team ratings fit on earlier games only (walk-forward), so it is what the model knew before kickoff.
| Team | Opponent | Pre-week win | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 CINCincinnati Bengals | vs  TEN | 76% | Won | 43–36 |
 DALDallas Cowboys | vs  ARI | 70% | Lost | 30–33 |
 JAXJacksonville Jaguars | vs  IND | 69% | Won | 42–7 |
 LARLos Angeles Rams | vs  LAC | 69% | Won | 24–9 |
 BUFBuffalo Bills | vs  BAL | 62% | Won | 36–10 |
 PITPittsburgh Steelers | vs  CLE | 62% | Won | 27–6 |
| GBGreen Bay Packers | vs  CAR | 61% | Won | 27–19 |
 WSHWashington Commanders | vs  PHI | 60% | Won | 27–10 |
 NYJNew York Jets | vs  LV | 58% | Lost | 33–38 |
 TBTampa Bay Buccaneers | vs  ATL | 58% | Won | 16–0 |
 SEASeattle Seahawks | vs  CHI | 57% | Lost | 17–34 |
 NENew England Patriots | @  MIA | 57% | Won | 24–19 |
Every Week 8 game: win probability
Line = a sportsbook’s point spread turned into a win chance. Model = our team ratings, used where no line is posted yet. Open a game for its matchup.
| Matchup | Kickoff | Line | Win odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR19@GB27Open matchupThu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET | Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 ARI33@DAL30Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 ATL0@TB16Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 BAL10@BUF36Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CLE6@PIT27Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 IND7@JAX42Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 LV38@NYJ33Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 MIN15@ DET19Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 TEN36@CIN43Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 LAC9@LAR24Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 KC24@ DEN28Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
NE24@ MIA19Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 PHI10@WSH27Open matchupSun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET | Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
 CHI34@SEA17Open matchupMon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET | Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET | Final | — | Final |
Public consensus
Loading public consensus.
How these numbers are made
Team ratings are fit to this season’s final scores and posted spreads. A game with a posted line uses the line; a game further out uses the ratings, with wider uncertainty for each week ahead. Future Value comes from the same season plan the planner makes, counted for a fresh plan with no teams used.
Unofficial. This planner is unofficial. It does not enter Circa Survivor, submit picks, or replace Circa’s official rules, schedule, or deadlines. Confirm every rule and kickoff with Circa Sports.
Win odds are estimates, not guarantees.
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